Biodiversity and Human Health Biodiversity and Human Health   Field researcher inspects a deer mouse for signs of hantavirus

 

CLIMATE CHANGE

The impacts of global climate change are already visible as increasingly unstable weather patterns cause increased human suffering through severe storm damage and increasingly frequent crop failures. These impacts will increase throughout the coming century unless action is taken now to slow the rate of global climate change.

Current climate change calculations suggest that glacier melt could raise sea levels to drastic heights in the 21st century. Until 2001, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was estimating that glacier melt alone would be responsible for a sea level rise of from 1 to 23 cm by 2100. Now, using new data from North American glaciers, researchers from the University of Colorado at Boulder calculate that glacier melt could be responsible for a 23 to 46 cm rise by 2100. Combined with other forces, such as ocean warming, sea levels could surge as much as 89 cm by the close of the current century. To put this in perspective, a mean sea level rise of 30 cm would correspond to an average 30-meter retreat of shoreline. This research was reported at the 2002 annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in Boston.

SOME QUICK STATISTICS These statistics come from the New York Times climate change page.

  • 1998, 1999 and 2000 (the last years for which data was available at the time of the report) had the three warmest winters on record.
  • 1998 and 1999 were the warmest years ever recorded, according to Federal data.
  • Since the end of the last ice age, about 20,000 years ago, earth has warmed 5 to 9 degrees. That's an average increase of only 0.00035 degrees per year during a "natural" planetary warming trend.
  • By contrast, scientists predict the planet will warm by 2 to 6 degrees over the next 100 years if green house gas emissions are not cut. That's an average increase of 0.04 degrees per year... a substantially faster increase than the planet's natural rate of temperature fluctuation.

In the News:

  • Global Warming Hits Species All Over the World, according to a recent study published in the journal Nature.

  • Antarctic island called a unique climate-change lab. An unexpectedly rapid warming of lakes on a desolate Antarctic island provides compelling evidence of the environmental impact wrought by rising global temperatures

  • Climate Change influenced the decline of ancestral Puebloan ("Anasazi") society. Using mineral bands in stalagmites from New Mexican caves to track climate change over the past 4,000 years, scientists have found that wet and dry periods helped drive major cultural shifts among ancient people in the American Southwest. Agricultural advances, such as the introduction of corn and cotton in the region, the debut of ceramics, and the abandonment of the famed pueblo cliff dwellings, all correlate closely to changes in climate, University of New Mexico researchers Victor Polyak and Yemane Asmerom report in the October 5th issue of the journal Science.

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